Basic Math

Probability | Sixth Grade

Probability - Sixth Grade

Complete Notes & Formulas

1. Sample Spaces of Simple Events

Definition

Sample Space (S) is the set of ALL POSSIBLE OUTCOMES

of a random experiment

• Written in curly braces { }

• Lists every possible result

Examples of Sample Spaces

ExperimentSample SpaceSize
Flip a coin{H, T}2
Roll a die{1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6}6
Pick a card suit{♠, ♥, ♦, ♣}4
Spin spinner (A, B, C){A, B, C}3

What is an Event?

Event: A subset of the sample space

Example: Rolling an even number = {2, 4, 6}

2. Fundamental Counting Principle

Definition

If one event can occur in m ways

and another event can occur in n ways,

then BOTH events can occur in m × n ways

Formula

Total Outcomes = n₁ × n₂ × n₃ × ...

n₁ = number of ways for first event

n₂ = number of ways for second event

and so on...

Example 1: Simple

Problem: A restaurant offers 3 types of sandwiches and 4 types of drinks. How many meal combinations?

Sandwiches: 3 choices

Drinks: 4 choices

Total combinations = 3 × 4 = 12

Answer: 12 different meal combinations

Example 2: Multiple Events

Problem: Flip a coin AND roll a die. How many outcomes?

Coin: 2 outcomes (H, T)

Die: 6 outcomes (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)

Total outcomes = 2 × 6 = 12

Answer: 12 total outcomes

3. Probability of One Event

Definition

Probability measures the LIKELIHOOD

that an event will occur

• Probability is always between 0 and 1

• Can be written as fraction, decimal, or percent

Formula

P(A) = n(A) ÷ n(S)

or

P(Event) = Favorable Outcomes ÷ Total Outcomes

Probability Scale

P = 0: Impossible (will NEVER happen)

P = 0.5: Equally likely (50-50 chance)

P = 1: Certain (will ALWAYS happen)

Example

Problem: What is the probability of rolling a 4 on a fair die?

Favorable outcomes: 1 (only the number 4)

Total outcomes: 6 (numbers 1-6)

P(4) = 1/6 ≈ 0.167 or 16.7%

Answer: 1/6 or about 17%

4. Making Predictions with Probability

Definition

Use probability to predict

EXPECTED OUTCOMES

when an experiment is repeated many times

Prediction Formula

Expected = Probability × Number of Trials

or

E = P × n

Example 1

Problem: If you flip a coin 100 times, how many times would you expect to get heads?

P(Heads) = 1/2 = 0.5

Number of flips = 100

Expected heads = 0.5 × 100 = 50

Answer: Expect about 50 heads

Example 2

Problem: If you roll a die 60 times, how many times would you expect to roll a 5?

P(5) = 1/6 ≈ 0.167

Number of rolls = 60

Expected 5's = (1/6) × 60 = 10

Answer: Expect about 10 times

5. Complementary (Opposite) Events

Definition

Complementary events are OPPOSITE events

If one event happens, the other CANNOT happen

• Notation: A' or Aͨ (read as "A complement")

• Together they cover ALL possible outcomes

Formula

P(A) + P(A') = 1

or

P(A') = 1 − P(A)

Examples of Complementary Events

Event AComplement A'
Rolling an even numberRolling an odd number
Getting headsGetting tails
Drawing a red cardDrawing a black card
Passing an examNot passing an exam

Example Problem

Problem: The probability of rain tomorrow is 0.3. What is the probability of NO rain?

P(Rain) = 0.3

P(No Rain) = 1 − P(Rain)

P(No Rain) = 1 − 0.3

P(No Rain) = 0.7 or 70%

Answer: 0.7 or 70% chance of no rain

Quick Reference: All Probability Formulas

ConceptFormula
Probability of EventP(A) = Favorable ÷ Total
Counting PrincipleTotal = n₁ × n₂ × n₃ × ...
PredictionExpected = P × n
ComplementP(A') = 1 − P(A)
Sum of ComplementsP(A) + P(A') = 1

💡 Important Tips to Remember

Sample space = ALL possible outcomes in { }

Counting principle: MULTIPLY to find total outcomes

Probability formula: P(A) = Favorable ÷ Total

Probability range: Always 0 ≤ P ≤ 1

P = 0 means impossible, P = 1 means certain

Predictions: Expected = Probability × Number of trials

Complementary events: P(A) + P(A') = 1

Complement formula: P(not A) = 1 − P(A)

Simplify fractions in probability answers

Can write probabilities as fractions, decimals, or percents

🧠 Memory Tricks & Strategies

Sample Space:

"Sample Space is the SET, of outcomes we can get!"

Counting Principle:

"When events are combined, just MULTIPLY - that's how you find all outcomes nearby!"

Probability:

"What you WANT over what you've GOT - favorable over total, that's the plot!"

Predictions:

"Probability times trials, gives expected - predictions made, well connected!"

Complement:

"One minus P(A) gives P(A prime) - the opposite event, working just fine!"

P = 0 or P = 1:

"Zero is NEVER, One is SURE - probabilities in between are less secure!"

Master Probability! 🎲 🎯 📊

Remember: Probability helps us predict the future with math!

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