IB Predicted Grade Planner & Calculator - Plan Your Diploma Score
Calculate and plan your IB predicted grades with our comprehensive planner. Input current grades, target scores, and subject choices to see projected IB Diploma points, university competitiveness, and strategic recommendations for achieving your goals.
IB Predicted Grade Planner
Core Components
Understanding IB Predicted Grades
What Are Predicted Grades?
IB predicted grades are your teachers' professional estimates of the final grades you're likely to achieve in each subject. These predictions are crucial for:
- University Applications: Most universities require predicted grades with applications (typically November-January of IB2)
- Conditional Offers: Universities make offers based on predicted grades (e.g., "38 points with 666 HL")
- Goal Setting: Predictions help you understand current standing and areas needing improvement
- Course Selection: Some universities consider specific subject predictions for course entry
Timeline: Teachers typically finalize predictions in fall of your final IB year (IB2), though some provide preliminary predictions in spring of IB1.
IB Grade Descriptors
| Grade | Descriptor | Performance Level | Typical Percentage |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Excellent | Demonstrates comprehensive mastery, sophisticated analysis | ~80-100% |
| 6 | Very Good | Strong understanding with consistent high-quality work | ~73-79% |
| 5 | Good | Solid understanding with generally good performance | ~65-72% |
| 4 | Satisfactory | Adequate understanding meeting requirements | ~55-64% |
| 3 | Mediocre | Limited understanding with significant gaps | ~45-54% |
| 2 | Poor | Very limited understanding, minimal achievement | ~30-44% |
| 1 | Very Poor | Minimal to no understanding demonstrated | Below 30% |
TOK/EE Bonus Points Matrix
| TOK Grade | EE: A | EE: B | EE: C | EE: D | EE: E |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 3 points | 3 points | 2 points | 2 points | Fail |
| B | 3 points | 2 points | 2 points | 1 point | Fail |
| C | 2 points | 2 points | 1 point | 0 points | Fail |
| D | 2 points | 1 point | 0 points | 0 points | Fail |
| E | Fail | Fail | Fail | Fail | Fail |
Formula for IB Diploma Score
Total IB Diploma Points Calculation
\[ \text{Total Points} = \sum_{i=1}^{6} \text{Subject Grade}_i + \text{TOK/EE Bonus} \]
Where:
- Each subject grade ranges from 1-7
- Six subjects total (3 HL + 3 SL)
- TOK/EE bonus ranges from 0-3 points
- Maximum total: 6 × 7 + 3 = 45 points
- Minimum to pass: 24 points
Passing Requirements:
To earn the IB Diploma, students must:
- Score minimum 24 points total
- Achieve minimum 12 points from HL subjects
- Achieve minimum 9 points from SL subjects
- Have no grade 1 in any subject
- Have no more than two grade 2s
- Have no more than three grade 3s or below
- Complete CAS requirements
- Not fail TOK/EE combination (E grade)
Predicted Grade Score Ranges
| Total Points | Assessment | University Prospects | Global Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
| 42-45 | Exceptional | Oxbridge, Ivy League, top global universities | Top 1% |
| 38-41 | Excellent | Top Russell Group, top US colleges | Top 5% |
| 35-37 | Very Good | Russell Group, good international universities | Top 10-15% |
| 32-34 | Good | Most UK universities, solid US colleges | Top 20-25% |
| 29-31 | Above Average | Wide range of universities globally | Top 30-40% |
| 26-28 | Average | Many universities, some competitive courses | Top 50% |
| 24-25 | Pass | Universities with lower entry requirements | Lower half |
Worked Examples
Example 1: High-Achieving Student
Predicted Grades:
- HL Mathematics AA: 7
- HL Physics: 7
- HL Economics: 6
- SL English A: 6
- SL Chemistry: 6
- SL Spanish B: 5
- TOK: A, EE: B = 3 bonus points
Calculation:
\[ \text{Total} = 7 + 7 + 6 + 6 + 6 + 5 + 3 = 40 \text{ points} \]
Assessment: Excellent performance, competitive for top universities
University Options: Russell Group, Imperial, LSE, competitive US colleges
Example 2: Solid Performance
Predicted: 666 HL, 555 SL, TOK: B, EE: C = 2 bonus
Total: 18 + 15 + 2 = 35 points
Assessment: Very good, above global average
Strategy: Strong position for most courses; aim to maintain or improve SL grades
Example 3: Strategic Planning
Current Predictions: 33 points (665 HL, 544 SL, +1 bonus)
Target: 36 points for specific university course
Gap Analysis: Need +3 points
Strategic Options:
- Improve one HL from 5 to 6 (+1 point)
- Improve two SL from 4 to 5 (+2 points)
- Improve TOK/EE combination for +2 bonus (from 1 to 3)
Recommended Focus: Prioritize HL subjects and TOK/EE for maximum impact
How Teachers Determine Predicted Grades
Evidence Teachers Consider
- Internal Assessments: Your IA drafts and quality (20-30% of final grade)
- Mock Exams: Performance on full practice papers under exam conditions
- Class Performance: Consistency, participation, homework quality
- Progress Trajectory: Improvement patterns over IB1 and early IB2
- Historical Data: How previous students with similar performance scored
- Work Ethic: Dedication, revision habits, response to feedback
- Subject-Specific Criteria: Alignment with IB grade descriptors
Prediction Accuracy
Research shows IB predicted grades tend to be:
- Generally accurate: ~70% within ±1 grade of final result
- Slightly optimistic: Teachers average 0.3-0.5 points higher than finals
- More accurate for stronger students: High achievers' predictions closer to reality
- Subject-variable: Some subjects (Math, Sciences) more predictable than others (Languages, Arts)
Common Misconceptions
Predicted Grades Aren't Guaranteed Final Grades
Students often assume predicted grades equal final results, leading to complacency or anxiety. Predictions are educated estimates, not guarantees. Many students perform 1-2 points differently (higher or lower) than predictions due to exam performance, stress, illness, or improved/declining preparation. Universities understand this—conditional offers build in flexibility. A prediction of 38 points might result in final scores of 36-40, all within normal variance. Focus on predictions as motivational targets and university planning tools, not definitive outcomes. Continue working hard regardless of predictions—many students exceed expectations through consistent effort.
You Can't Demand Specific Predicted Grades
Students sometimes believe they can negotiate or demand certain predictions from teachers. Predicted grades are professional judgments based on evidence, not negotiable. Teachers face ethical obligations and school policies regarding predictions. Asking "Can you predict me a 7?" or presenting university requirements as justification doesn't change evidence-based assessments. Instead: focus on demonstrating consistent high performance through classwork, IAs, and mocks. If predictions seem low, respectfully ask teachers what evidence would support higher predictions, then work toward those benchmarks. Some schools have formal review processes if students believe predictions are unfair, but this requires concrete evidence, not just disappointment.
TOK/EE Points Matter More Than You Think
Students often underestimate TOK and Extended Essay impact on final scores. These three bonus points represent nearly 7% of your total (3/45). The difference between D/D (0 points) and B/B (2 points) equals one entire subject grade improvement. Strategic students prioritize TOK/EE alongside subjects. Example: with subject scores of 776-555 = 35 points, TOK A + EE B (3 bonus) = 38 total versus TOK D + EE D (0 bonus) = 35 total—a three-point difference determining university admission competitiveness. Additionally, E grade in either TOK or EE results in diploma failure regardless of subject grades. Invest time in quality TOK essays and EE research early—these aren't "minor" components.
Frequently Asked Questions
When do I receive my predicted grades?
Most IB schools provide official predicted grades in October-November of your final year (IB2), timed for university applications. Some schools give preliminary predictions in May-June of IB1 for early planning. Teachers continuously assess your progress but formalize predictions based on sufficient evidence: IAs, mocks, and consistent classwork. If applying to universities with earlier deadlines (e.g., Oxford/Cambridge October deadline, US colleges November), request predictions early. Teachers need time—don't expect predictions generated overnight. The prediction process involves departmental discussions and school approval, typically taking 2-4 weeks after your mock exams in September/October of IB2.
Can predicted grades change after being submitted?
Yes, but rarely and only with justification. Schools can update predictions if significant new evidence emerges: major mock exam score changes, completed IAs dramatically exceeding expectations, or conversely, performance declines. Universities receive updated predictions if changes occur before offers are made. However, schools avoid frequent changes—they damage credibility with universities. Don't expect predictions to change just because you "feel" you'll do better. Changes require concrete evidence. Some schools have cutoff dates for prediction changes (typically December-January). After university offers are made, prediction changes don't affect conditional offers already issued. Focus on meeting your predicted grades rather than seeking changes post-submission.
What if my predicted grades are lower than I expected?
Disappointment with predictions is common but addressable. First: request a meeting with subject teachers to understand their reasoning and evidence basis. Ask specifically: "What would I need to demonstrate for a higher prediction?" This shows maturity and provides actionable goals. Second: focus areas for improvement—complete strong IAs, excel in upcoming mocks, demonstrate consistent effort. Third: consider prediction timelines—early predictions (June IB1) can improve by October IB2 with sustained effort. Fourth: remember universities often accept students who don't perfectly meet predictions if they demonstrate potential through personal statements, interviews, and references. Finally: realistic predictions help you apply appropriately rather than disappointingly missing unrealistic offers.
Should I choose university courses based on predicted grades?
Yes, predicted grades should guide university choices, but don't limit yourself entirely. Apply to a range: reach schools (requiring 1-2 points above predictions), target schools (matching predictions), and safety schools (2-3 points below). Example with 36 predicted: reach for courses requiring 38-39, target courses requiring 35-37, safety requiring 32-33. This balanced approach maximizes chances while maintaining ambition. Consider: (1) Some students exceed predictions through exam performance; (2) Personal statements and interviews can compensate for slightly lower predictions; (3) Different courses within universities have varying requirements. Don't only apply to reaches or only to safeties—balanced applications provide insurance while pursuing goals. Guidance counselors can advise on realistic versus aspirational applications based on prediction reliability at your school.
Do universities verify predicted grades with schools?
Yes, universities receive predicted grades directly from schools through official channels (UCAS for UK, Common App counselor forms for US, or direct school submissions). You cannot self-report different predictions. Schools send official transcripts including predictions alongside teacher references. Universities trust school predictions but occasionally query unusually high predictions that seem inconsistent with other application elements. Schools' prediction credibility matters—if a school consistently over-predicts, universities may discount future predictions. This is why teachers are conservative with predictions; their professional reputation and school relationships with universities are at stake. Never inflate predictions on applications—mismatches between what you report and official transcripts damage credibility and can result in offer withdrawal.
Can I still get into university if I miss my predicted grades?
Yes, many students receive university places despite missing predicted grades in final exams, though this depends on circumstances. UK universities with conditional offers may still accept you if you narrowly miss (e.g., 37 instead of predicted 38) or if your subject-specific grades are strong (required HL subjects at target grades even if overall total slightly lower). US colleges don't typically rescind admission unless final grades show dramatic declines or failure to graduate. Universities understand prediction imperfections—they're more concerned with students who massively under-perform (>3 points below), suggesting predictions were unrealistic. If you miss predictions, contact universities immediately explaining circumstances (illness, personal issues). Many schools have adjustment/clearing processes for close misses. Honesty and proactive communication matter.
Strategic Tips for Maximizing Predicted Grades
Timing & Planning:
- Excel in Year 1 (IB1) to establish strong foundation for predictions
- Take mock exams seriously—they heavily influence predictions
- Submit high-quality IA drafts early showing your best work
- Demonstrate consistent effort and improvement trajectory
Subject Strategy:
- Prioritize HL subjects—they weight more heavily for university entry
- Focus improvement efforts on subjects below target grades
- Don't neglect TOK/EE—easy points often overlooked
- Understand subject-specific grade descriptors and aim for next level
Communication:
- Build positive relationships with teachers through engagement
- Seek feedback regularly and demonstrate response to advice
- Ask teachers what evidence supports higher predictions
- Show consistent work ethic beyond just exam performance
About This Planner
Developed by RevisionTown
RevisionTown provides comprehensive IB Diploma resources including score calculators, grade planners, and university admission guidance. Our IB Predicted Grade Planner helps students understand how predicted grades are determined, calculate projected diploma scores, and strategically plan for university applications.
Whether you're planning your IB subject choices, calculating expected diploma points, understanding TOK/EE bonus points, preparing for university applications, or identifying areas for grade improvement, our planner provides accurate calculations with complete educational context and strategic recommendations.
IB Resources: Explore our IB score calculators, subject-specific grade calculators, IA planning tools, university requirement databases, predicted grade guides, and academic planning resources for IB success.
Important Disclaimer
This IB Predicted Grade Planner provides estimated diploma scores based on inputted predicted grades and TOK/EE combinations. Predicted grades are teachers' professional estimates, not guaranteed final results—actual exam performance may vary significantly. Universities make conditional offers based on predicted grades, but final admission depends on achieving actual grades in May exams. Predicted grades accuracy varies by school, subject, and student—research shows typical variance of ±1 grade point per subject. This planner is for educational planning, goal-setting, and university application preparation—it does not replace official school predictions or guarantee specific outcomes. Students must meet IB Diploma requirements beyond point totals: CAS completion, no failing conditions (grade 1s, excessive 2s/3s), and acceptable TOK/EE combination. Consult your IB coordinator and teachers for official predicted grades and diploma requirements. This tool does not predict actual IB exam scores or guarantee university admission. Use for strategic planning while continuing to work toward your academic potential.
